Antarctica has lost 10 times the size of Greater Los Angeles in ice over 30 years. The ice sheet has been retreating from the grounding line at an average rate of 442 square kilometers per year.
That image has always stuck with me, both as a sobering comment on my sex and as a grisly worst-case scenario. So it was strange, this fall, to be looking for a bumpy ride. Some sixteen million flights crisscross the United States each year. Of those, roughly one in every two hundred and fifty gets hit by moderate-or-greater turbulence—strong enough to make passengers feel “a definite strain against their seat belts,” as the National Weather Service describes it. One in every three thousand flights encounters severe turbulence: “The airplane may momentarily be out of control. Occupants of the airplane will be forced violently against their seat belts.” By that scale, the worst turbulence I’ve felt could only qualify as light: “slight erratic changes in altitude.” To definitely experience more, I would have to fly in a very small aircraft.
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